America's new swing region: changing politics and by Ruy Teixeira

By Ruy Teixeira

The Mountain West —Arizona, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, and Utah —has turn into the recent swing area in American politics. All symptoms aspect to those states, in particular Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico, being an important within the 2012 election. regrettably, the increase of this zone has been underreported within the media, and lots of political observers have in simple terms the main superficial figuring out of the profound monetary, political, and social adjustments that proceed to reshape the Mountain West. America's New Swing sector is the remedy.Led through bestselling writer and political analyst Ruy Teixeira, a skilled team of students assembled via the Brookings Mountain West software (housed on the collage of Nevada–Las Vegas) offers the evidence and the narrative beneficial for realizing what's occurring during this zone and why it's so important.Contents 1. advent and Overview2. America's New Swing sector: The Political Demography and Geography of the Mountain West3. Metropolitan vote casting styles within the Mountain West: the hot and outdated Political Heartlands4. Hispanics, Race, and the altering Political panorama of the USA Mountain West5. The Political Attitudes of the Millennial iteration within the Mountain West6. The Mountain West this present day: A local Survey7. Reapportionment and Redistricting within the Mountain WestContributors comprise Karlyn Bowman (American firm Institute), David Damore(University of Nevada–Las Vegas (UNLV), William Frey (Brookings Institution), Scott Keeter (Pew learn Center), Robert E. Lang (Brookings, UNLV, and the Lincy Institute), Tom Sanchez (Virginia Tech University), and Ruy Teixeira (Century origin and the heart for American Progress).

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Idaho Metropolitan Areas and Regions Yuma TUCSON Coeur d'Alene REGIONS Counties PANHANDLE Lewiston Metropolitan areas SOUTH Idaho Falls Idaho Population Growth by County, 2000-2010 BOISE Pocatello Logan Idaho Population Growth by County, 2000-2010 Map D-2. 9% growth Decline PANHANDLE SOUTH BOISE SOUTH Source: Authors’ calculations based on decennial census data. indd 6 1/30/12 3:52 PM Idaho County Presidential Voting, 2008 Map D-3. Idaho County Presidential Voting, 2008 Republican Margin 10%+ Republican Margin up to 10% Democrat Margin up to 10% Democrat Margin 10%+ PANHANDLE SOUTH BOISE Source: Authors’ calculations based on election data.

North and West: This sprawling region consists of sixteen counties in the western and northern part of Colorado and includes the Fort Collins– Loveland metropolitan area—which lies just above Boulder and is the state’s fourth-largest metropolitan area—as well as the Greeley metropolitan area to the east5 and the Grand Junction metropolitan area, which abuts the western boundary of the state. These metropolitan areas are growing at a moderate to rapid pace, with Fort Collins and Greeley located on the northern end of Colorado’s Front Range megapolitan area.

Indd 25 1/24/12 5:38 PM 26 W illiam H. F rey and R uy T eixeira Table C-1. S. decennial censuses. rapid growth from 2000 to 2010 and within which demographic segments are changing most rapidly. Colorado’s Eligible Voters We focus first on Colorado’s eligible voter population—citizens ages 18 and older—based on results from the 2010 American Community Survey and describe changes since the 2000 census (see tables A-2A and A2-B). More than one-quarter of Colorado’s electorate is made up of white, working-age college graduates, a share that is well above their share in the other Mountain West states.

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